Far From Home
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 169 (44 on the archive and 125 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 82
Defender wins (Republican): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 780 | 1152 | 11% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 1017 | 1016 | 50% | 2022-11-02 | Won |
| 948 | 960 | 48% | 2022-07-27 | Won |
| 1073 | 1152 | 39% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1199 | 998 | 76% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1158 | 960 | 76% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
| 1218 | 930 | 84% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2020-12-28 | Won |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2020-11-17 | Won |
| 920 | 1070 | 30% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2020-02-06 | Won |
| 1049 | 1005 | 56% | 2020-01-21 | Won |
| 985 | 963 | 53% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1060 | 39% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2019-04-03 | Lost |
| 982 | 1226 | 20% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1226 | 982 | 80% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-08-24 | Won |
| 1058 | 1081 | 47% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
| 1070 | 970 | 64% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1133 | 1052 | 61% | 2015-09-25 | Won |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
| 984 | 1233 | 19% | 2014-09-03 | Lost |
| 1220 | 939 | 83% | 2013-09-16 | Won |
| 1108 | 975 | 68% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 1133 | 1118 | 52% | 2013-05-12 | Won |
| 1003 | 977 | 54% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-08-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-23 | Won |
| 1022 | 1004 | 53% | 2012-07-21 | Won |
| 1135 | 1031 | 65% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 984 | 65% | 2011-07-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2010-12-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1158 | 37% | 2010-10-15 | Won |
| 1080 | 1043 | 55% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
| 974 | 930 | 56% | 2010-09-19 | Lost |
| 1016 | 974 | 56% | 2010-07-30 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1037 | 59% | 2010-07-04 | Won |
| 968 | 1028 | 41% | 2010-07-03 | Won |
| 967 | 1209 | 20% | 2010-06-19 | Lost |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2010-06-16 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1003 | 69% | 2010-04-23 | Won |
| 985 | 1018 | 45% | 2010-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1061.1 vs 1047.4 has a 51.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).