ASL Scenario Archive

Far From Home

Games with no balance used/recorded: 40

Attacker wins (Nationalist): 26

Defender wins (Republican): 14

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1084	1120	45%	2022-11-02	Won
954	958	49%	2022-07-27	Won
1170	1010	72%	2022-05-12	Won
1183	958	79%	2022-03-15	Lost
1219	947	83%	2021-05-15	Won
1077	1077	50%	2020-12-28	Won
1046	1037	51%	2020-11-17	Won
892	1213	14%	2020-07-12	Lost
1049	1005	56%	2020-01-21	Won
873	962	37%	2020-01-18	Lost
982	1058	39%	2019-07-16	Lost
976	976	50%	2019-04-03	Lost
905	1223	14%	2019-01-19	Won
1223	905	86%	2019-01-11	Won
1223	1133	63%	2018-08-24	Won
1055	1164	35%	2018-08-05	Won
1213	975	80%	2017-04-08	Won
1132	1083	57%	2015-09-25	Won
1154	1066	62%	2015-07-12	Won
1011	1228	22%	2014-09-03	Lost
1225	938	84%	2013-09-16	Won
1093	975	66%	2013-06-23	Won
1133	1099	55%	2013-05-12	Won
1012	995	52%	2013-04-06	Won
881	962	39%	2012-08-05	Lost
1088	1088	50%	2012-07-23	Won
1022	1004	53%	2012-07-21	Won
1039	1037	50%	2011-07-11	Won
1108	984	67%	2011-07-01	Lost
1110	961	70%	2010-12-01	Lost
975	1183	23%	2010-10-15	Won
1043	990	58%	2010-10-10	Won
1050	930	67%	2010-09-19	Lost
1020	1050	46%	2010-07-30	Lost
1096	1051	56%	2010-07-04	Won
1052	1040	52%	2010-07-03	Won
1080	1218	31%	2010-06-19	Lost
1137	1009	68%	2010-06-16	Lost
1149	1012	69%	2010-04-23	Won
984	1017	45%	2010-02-01	Lost

Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1068 vs 1041 has a 53.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).