Far From Home
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 168 (43 on the archive and 125 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 81
Defender wins (Republican): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 781 | 1186 | 9% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 1108 | 1108 | 50% | 2022-11-02 | Won |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2022-07-27 | Won |
| 1082 | 1186 | 35% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1212 | 1047 | 72% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
| 1217 | 939 | 83% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2020-12-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1040 | 47% | 2020-11-17 | Won |
| 929 | 1167 | 20% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1005 | 56% | 2020-01-21 | Won |
| 888 | 961 | 40% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1059 | 39% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2019-04-03 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1226 | 23% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1226 | 1017 | 77% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2018-08-24 | Won |
| 1058 | 1016 | 56% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
| 1167 | 962 | 76% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2015-09-25 | Won |
| 1153 | 1067 | 62% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
| 1009 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-09-03 | Lost |
| 1254 | 938 | 86% | 2013-09-16 | Won |
| 1109 | 975 | 68% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2013-05-12 | Won |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-08-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-23 | Won |
| 1022 | 1004 | 53% | 2012-07-21 | Won |
| 1078 | 1036 | 56% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1098 | 984 | 66% | 2011-07-01 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2010-12-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1213 | 27% | 2010-10-15 | Won |
| 1080 | 1046 | 55% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
| 1051 | 930 | 67% | 2010-09-19 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1051 | 45% | 2010-07-30 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1037 | 59% | 2010-07-04 | Won |
| 968 | 1029 | 41% | 2010-07-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 1208 | 36% | 2010-06-19 | Lost |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2010-06-16 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1003 | 70% | 2010-04-23 | Won |
| 985 | 1019 | 45% | 2010-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1053.2 has a 51.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).