Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (28 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 64
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2025-05-29 | Won |
| 1044 | 938 | 65% | 2025-01-31 | Lost |
| 989 | 959 | 54% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 1200 | 1005 | 75% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 864 | 940 | 39% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 933 | 940 | 49% | 2021-04-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1006 | 50% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 988 | 915 | 60% | 2020-02-26 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
| 988 | 999 | 48% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
| 906 | 1219 | 14% | 2016-09-10 | Lost |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
| 895 | 871 | 53% | 2014-02-04 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-08-03 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 1011 | 1143 | 32% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1143 | 44% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1011 | 57% | 2010-10-15 | Lost |
| 877 | 1100 | 22% | 2010-09-25 | Lost |
| 1100 | 938 | 72% | 2010-09-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1034 | 62% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 990 | 1118 | 32% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1020 | 27% | 2010-04-06 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1036 | 49% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1022.9 vs 1038.4 has a 47.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).