Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (28 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 64
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2025-05-29 | Won |
| 956 | 938 | 53% | 2025-01-31 | Lost |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 1248 | 1030 | 78% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 864 | 913 | 43% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 931 | 913 | 53% | 2021-04-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1004 | 51% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1025 | 915 | 65% | 2020-02-26 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
| 994 | 999 | 49% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
| 907 | 1219 | 14% | 2016-09-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
| 894 | 870 | 53% | 2014-02-04 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-08-03 | Won |
| 1014 | 1001 | 52% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 1161 | 1132 | 54% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1161 | 36% | 2010-10-15 | Lost |
| 1098 | 938 | 72% | 2010-09-25 | Won |
| 885 | 1098 | 23% | 2010-09-25 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1035 | 61% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1140 | 54% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 852 | 1018 | 28% | 2010-04-06 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1116 | 50% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1035 | 51% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1034.2 vs 1041.6 has a 48.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).