The Marketplace at Wormhoudt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (21 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 37
Defender wins (British): 38
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 947 | 48% | 2023-10-09 | Lost |
| 707 | 990 | 16% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1127 | 1084 | 56% | 2021-09-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1134 | 974 | 72% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1057 | 1196 | 31% | 2016-04-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1147 | 28% | 2015-01-04 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1212 | 40% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 1160 | 982 | 74% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2013-04-20 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1009 | 65% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 1140 | 883 | 81% | 2012-04-28 | Won |
| 1030 | 1133 | 36% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 925 | 1002 | 39% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1031 | 66% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1170 | 56% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1170 | 56% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1219 | 30% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1066.7 vs 1070.2 has a 49.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).