Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (23 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (Dutch): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1004 | 50% | 2025-05-21 | Won |
| 1085 | 1080 | 51% | 2025-03-20 | Won |
| 963 | 963 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1001 | 45% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 968 | 1055 | 38% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 1132 | 939 | 75% | 2022-11-16 | Won |
| 907 | 1248 | 12% | 2022-01-19 | Lost |
| 1140 | 988 | 71% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1009 | 77% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 939 | 1137 | 24% | 2019-05-11 | Won |
| 1087 | 960 | 68% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 835 | 1009 | 27% | 2017-12-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 903 | 60% | 2017-09-23 | Won |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2016-03-01 | Lost |
| 889 | 1026 | 31% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 992 | 1336 | 12% | 2015-02-11 | Lost |
| 994 | 960 | 55% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1151 | 50% | 2014-11-21 | Lost |
| 851 | 1154 | 15% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 915 | 982 | 40% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1012 | 1039 | 46% | 2014-02-05 | Lost |
| 973 | 1033 | 41% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 937 | 1058 | 33% | 2010-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 996.8 vs 1049.1 has a 42.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).