Thrilla in Manila
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Japanese): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 914 | 1011 | 36% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1107 | 1040 | 60% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1045 | 1066 | 47% | 2015-05-07 | Lost |
| 1075 | 851 | 78% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 852 | 64% | 2011-07-31 | Won |
| 1031 | 1079 | 43% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1033.1 vs 987.3 has a 56.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).