Alligator Tanks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (15 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (Japanese): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1146 | 952 | 75% | 2024-01-14 | | Lost |
| 967 | 981 | 48% | 2020-10-09 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1015 | 45% | 2020-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2020-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1017 | 66% | 2020-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 972 | 72% | 2019-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2018-11-28 | | Won |
| 988 | 1071 | 38% | 2018-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2017-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2015-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2012-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 695 | 89% | 2011-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1194 | 27% | 2010-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1047.8 vs 1018.1 has a 54.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).