Melee Near the Coast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 189 (45 on the archive and 144 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 96
Defender wins (Chinese): 92
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 990 | 990 | 50% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 1027 | 999 | 54% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2024-04-22 | Lost |
| 973 | 889 | 62% | 2024-01-30 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1024 | 51% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
| 1055 | 1046 | 51% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
| 889 | 895 | 49% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1104 | 61% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 947 | 1164 | 22% | 2022-06-08 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1073 | 49% | 2022-05-08 | Won |
| 1066 | 971 | 63% | 2022-02-18 | Won |
| 1008 | 945 | 59% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 967 | 957 | 51% | 2020-09-07 | Won |
| 1141 | 985 | 71% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1027 | 52% | 2017-08-21 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1229 | 29% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 1181 | 953 | 79% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1217 | 1077 | 69% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1086 | 694 | 91% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2016-07-23 | Won |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1180 | 28% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1068 | 59% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 944 | 1036 | 37% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
| 1274 | 1056 | 78% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
| 959 | 1081 | 33% | 2014-12-04 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1041 | 51% | 2014-07-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2013-06-08 | Won |
| 1124 | 1054 | 60% | 2013-05-24 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1008 | 59% | 2013-03-26 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1249 | 34% | 2012-10-21 | Lost |
| 1081 | 964 | 66% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1059 | 973 | 62% | 2012-03-05 | Won |
| 999 | 1107 | 35% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1140 | 44% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1077 | 989 | 62% | 2011-09-03 | Won |
| 1088 | 1120 | 45% | 2011-08-31 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1068 | 70% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2011-01-25 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1044 | 51% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
| 1045 | 947 | 64% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
| 1045 | 935 | 65% | 2010-09-18 | Won |
| 1064 | 1036 | 54% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1039.1 has a 51.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).