Melee Near the Coast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 191 (45 on the archive and 147 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 97
Defender wins (Chinese): 94
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-09-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2025-01-27 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1021 | 55% | 2024-08-24 | A | Won |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2024-04-22 | | Lost |
| 952 | 940 | 52% | 2024-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1024 | 49% | 2023-12-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1091 | 37% | 2023-07-02 | | Won |
| 940 | 889 | 57% | 2022-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2022-10-04 | | Won |
| 952 | 1133 | 26% | 2022-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2022-05-08 | | Won |
| 1077 | 953 | 67% | 2022-02-18 | | Won |
| 1010 | 955 | 58% | 2021-02-09 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-09-07 | | Won |
| 1143 | 985 | 71% | 2019-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 2017-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2017-07-28 | | Won |
| 1283 | 1149 | 68% | 2017-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 695 | 89% | 2016-09-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2016-07-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2016-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1167 | 30% | 2015-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-01-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2015-01-23 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-12-10 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1080 | 32% | 2014-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2014-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2013-06-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2013-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2013-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2012-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 964 | 66% | 2012-07-07 | | Won |
| 1060 | 973 | 62% | 2012-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2012-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1141 | 44% | 2011-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2011-09-03 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2011-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1022 | 74% | 2011-07-11 | | Won |
| 790 | 1141 | 12% | 2011-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2011-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-09-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2010-06-01 | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1027.7 has a 52.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).