Clearing Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 901 | 54% | 2024-01-02 | Lost |
| 901 | 927 | 46% | 2023-12-31 | Won |
| 927 | 958 | 46% | 2023-07-06 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1172 | 44% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1002 | 923 | 61% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 856 | 861 | 49% | 2021-11-26 | Lost |
| 877 | 828 | 57% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1093 | 62% | 2021-07-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1130 | 28% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2020-11-24 | Won |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 898 | 845 | 58% | 2020-08-02 | Lost |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-11-15 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1090 | 66% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 877 | 630 | 81% | 2019-06-23 | Lost |
| 984 | 901 | 62% | 2018-07-06 | Won |
| 1022 | 1022 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
| 1025 | 958 | 60% | 2018-03-26 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-09-22 | Lost |
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1228 | 1006 | 78% | 2014-10-22 | Won |
| 1108 | 972 | 69% | 2014-04-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-12-26 | Won |
| 1025 | 958 | 60% | 2013-04-24 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1069 | 42% | 2010-04-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 959 | 61% | 2010-03-14 | Won |
| 1069 | 1010 | 58% | 2010-03-08 | Lost |
| 829 | 829 | 50% | 2009-11-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1011.2 vs 980.3 has a 54.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).