Few and Far Between
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (19 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Dutch): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2025-12-22 | Won |
| 1291 | 979 | 86% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-04-07 | Won |
| 1144 | 1115 | 54% | 2021-09-20 | Won |
| 896 | 1092 | 24% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 947 | 979 | 45% | 2020-11-27 | Won |
| 1028 | 952 | 61% | 2020-10-25 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2020-08-31 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1236 | 32% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1009 | 68% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
| 979 | 1013 | 45% | 2017-12-28 | Lost |
| 1172 | 979 | 75% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 979 | 1172 | 25% | 2015-06-22 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1431 | 19% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1140 | 726 | 92% | 2009-08-26 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1061 vs 1045.1 has a 52.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).