Few and Far Between
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (19 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Dutch): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-12-22 | Won |
| 1291 | 1040 | 81% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-04-07 | Won |
| 1143 | 1115 | 54% | 2021-09-20 | Won |
| 906 | 1092 | 26% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 933 | 1040 | 35% | 2020-11-27 | Won |
| 1028 | 952 | 61% | 2020-10-25 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2020-08-31 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1236 | 32% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1009 | 68% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-02-11 | Lost |
| 1040 | 960 | 61% | 2017-12-28 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1040 | 68% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1173 | 32% | 2015-06-22 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1431 | 19% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2009-08-26 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1049.2 has a 51.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).