Alongside the Old Mole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (3 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 3
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 1011 | 40% | 2024-01-09 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1196 | 30% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2016-05-26 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1104 has a 40.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).