Road to Kozani Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (British/New Zealand): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 1173 | 1214 | 44% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1214 | 38% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1214 | 980 | 79% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1116 | 46% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1223 | 36% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 999 | 955 | 56% | 2018-12-24 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 1126 | 973 | 71% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-04-21 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 963 | 954 | 51% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2012-07-21 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1038 | 60% | 2010-10-09 | Tied |
| 973 | 1023 | 43% | 2010-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1093.6 vs 1074.5 has a 52.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).