Fighting at World's Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (16 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Norwegian / French ): 21
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2026-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1037 | 63% | 2024-06-29 | | Won |
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2023-04-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2021-01-05 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2020-06-07 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2020-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-04-15 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2018-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2018-07-05 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2017-02-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2015-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1092 | 46% | 2014-01-01 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2011-02-20 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2010-10-09 | | Won |
| 961 | 1090 | 32% | 2009-12-02 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2009-11-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1058.6 vs 1031.8 has a 53.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).