Battle for the Warta Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (31 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 39
Defender wins (Polish): 41
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1108 | 49% | 2025-10-24 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1089 | 41% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1018 | 889 | 68% | 2024-06-19 | Won |
| 1169 | 1142 | 54% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1002 | 55% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 1021 | 1046 | 46% | 2023-08-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 951 | 51% | 2023-02-02 | Lost |
| 949 | 1192 | 20% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 951 | 956 | 49% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1139 | 55% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1130 | 47% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 993 | 1036 | 44% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 993 | 1036 | 44% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 989 | 997 | 49% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 938 | 1021 | 38% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1219 | 1192 | 54% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1139 | 61% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 893 | 1211 | 14% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 893 | 1211 | 14% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 881 | 1067 | 26% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1144 | 45% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-10-14 | Won |
| 1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 2011-02-06 | Won |
| 1065 | 1003 | 59% | 2009-12-05 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1050 | 40% | 2009-07-18 | Won |
| 940 | 1021 | 39% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1034.1 vs 1072.1 has a 44.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).