Battle for the Warta Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (30 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (Polish): 41
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1013 | 52% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1018 | 889 | 68% | 2024-06-19 | Won |
| 1167 | 1142 | 54% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 996 | 1051 | 42% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 1004 | 1046 | 44% | 2023-08-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 896 | 59% | 2023-02-02 | Lost |
| 944 | 1004 | 41% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 896 | 956 | 41% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1202 | 46% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1130 | 46% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1024 | 47% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1024 | 47% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 979 | 1023 | 44% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 939 | 1004 | 41% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1220 | 1164 | 58% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1202 | 53% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 913 | 1066 | 29% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1144 | 43% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-10-14 | Won |
| 1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2011-02-06 | Won |
| 1060 | 1004 | 58% | 2009-12-05 | Won |
| 1022 | 1004 | 53% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 979 | 1099 | 33% | 2009-07-18 | Won |
| 939 | 1004 | 41% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1024.1 vs 1063.1 has a 44.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).