Insult to Injury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 832 | 1202 | 11% | 2024-06-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1209 | 43% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
| 1151 | 970 | 74% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1215 | 1092 | 67% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2016-01-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1209 | 43% | 2015-12-19 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1067 | 59% | 2014-02-01 | Won |
| 1092 | 1031 | 59% | 2013-04-16 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1066 | 62% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 993 | 920 | 60% | 2011-05-11 | Won |
| 1112 | 1057 | 58% | 2011-04-19 | Won |
| 987 | 889 | 64% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1047 | 1313 | 18% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1100 | 938 | 72% | 2011-01-22 | Won |
| 1153 | 1076 | 61% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1153 | 44% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2009-02-15 | Won |
| 1089 | 1136 | 43% | 2009-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1097.3 vs 1089.7 has a 51.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).