Insult to Injury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 878 | 75% | 2026-02-26 | Won |
| 824 | 1198 | 10% | 2024-06-01 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1216 | 979 | 80% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 977 | 1117 | 31% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2015-12-19 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1069 | 62% | 2014-02-01 | Won |
| 979 | 1032 | 42% | 2013-04-16 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1071 | 62% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 972 | 920 | 57% | 2011-05-11 | Won |
| 1124 | 1012 | 66% | 2011-04-19 | Won |
| 994 | 859 | 69% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1047 | 1253 | 23% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1101 | 923 | 74% | 2011-01-22 | Won |
| 1109 | 1089 | 53% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1109 | 57% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1243 | 1068 | 73% | 2009-02-15 | Won |
| 1076 | 1137 | 41% | 2009-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1091.9 vs 1048.8 has a 56.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).