The Meat Grinder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 308 (79 on the archive and 229 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 130
Defender wins (Russian): 178
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2026-04-16 | Lost |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2026-03-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2026-03-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-05-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-04-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1075 | 983 | 63% | 2021-08-20 | Lost |
| 914 | 1135 | 22% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 854 | 1000 | 30% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1081 | 39% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 914 | 1000 | 38% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 914 | 62% | 2020-02-25 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1195 | 1000 | 75% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2016-07-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1001 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2014-02-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 964 | 1036 | 40% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1044 | 923 | 67% | 2013-01-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-10-30 | Won |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2012-08-15 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1042 | 57% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 927 | 60% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
| 927 | 1000 | 40% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1018 | 67% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2011-01-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2010-10-06 | Won |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2010-02-14 | Lost |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2009-11-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2009-10-22 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1000 | 79% | 2009-10-05 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1037 | 71% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1092 | 43% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1115 | 34% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-07-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1000 | 51% | 2009-06-20 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2009-06-19 | Lost |
| 1012 | 982 | 54% | 2009-05-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-05-20 | Won |
| 1024 | 1076 | 43% | 2009-05-14 | Won |
| 923 | 945 | 47% | 2009-04-25 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1058 | 47% | 2009-04-16 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1033 | 49% | 2009-04-13 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 955 | 946 | 51% | 2009-04-02 | Won |
| 1185 | 1154 | 54% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
| 983 | 1042 | 42% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2009-03-10 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1065 | 47% | 2009-03-06 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1086 | 55% | 2009-03-02 | Lost |
| 1042 | 927 | 66% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1006 | 49% | 2009-02-14 | Won |
| 1025 | 1067 | 44% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1016.3 vs 1015.1 has a 50.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).