Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (19 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (Polish): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1053 | 67% | 2022-06-21 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1125 | 36% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1081 | 62% | 2020-05-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 1125 | 37% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1253 | 21% | 2017-06-25 | Lost |
| 934 | 1058 | 33% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1140 | 35% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1095 | 1036 | 58% | 2012-06-30 | Won |
| 977 | 1076 | 36% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1170 | 1019 | 70% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1076 | 43% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2011-03-03 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1136 | 36% | 2010-10-12 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1041 | 56% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1123 | 61% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1007 | 994 | 52% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1174 | 26% | 2009-03-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1243 | 27% | 2008-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1067.5 vs 1112.5 has a 43.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).