Federov's Incursion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (3 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 917 | 60% | 2010-12-18 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2009-01-26 | Lost |
| 1167 | 985 | 74% | 2008-12-27 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1069.7 vs 982 has a 62.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).