Eviction Notice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 209 (41 on the archive and 168 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 109
Defender wins (German): 100
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 979 | 36% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1143 | 1102 | 56% | 2025-02-20 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1047 | 45% | 2024-01-25 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1213 | 28% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 980 | 994 | 48% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
| 1109 | 1017 | 63% | 2021-01-21 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2019-03-19 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1035 | 68% | 2018-10-11 | Won |
| 1005 | 888 | 66% | 2018-07-07 | Won |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 968 | 943 | 54% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1109 | 40% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 1031 | 42% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1193 | 33% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 973 | 1118 | 30% | 2017-11-15 | Lost |
| 794 | 1226 | 8% | 2017-07-12 | Lost |
| 973 | 1118 | 30% | 2015-12-04 | Lost |
| 968 | 1138 | 27% | 2015-09-25 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1017 | 53% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 879 | 69% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 998 | 1004 | 49% | 2014-03-04 | Lost |
| 933 | 870 | 59% | 2012-03-04 | Won |
| 870 | 1100 | 21% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1020 | 44% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1020 | 59% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
| 1020 | 851 | 73% | 2010-08-19 | Won |
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2010-07-01 | Won |
| 1078 | 970 | 65% | 2010-01-16 | Lost |
| 990 | 973 | 52% | 2009-05-03 | Lost |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-01-30 | Won |
| 1060 | 1068 | 49% | 2009-01-25 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1293 | 18% | 2008-10-08 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-05-17 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2008-04-22 | Lost |
| 996 | 1419 | 8% | 2008-04-12 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1003 | 52% | 2008-03-30 | Won |
| 1038 | 931 | 65% | 2008-02-23 | Won |
| 980 | 1098 | 34% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 933 | 1054 | 33% | 2008-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1013.9 vs 1050 has a 44.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).