Eviction Notice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
992 | 969 | 53% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
1143 | 1122 | 53% | 2025-02-20 | Lost |
1008 | 1018 | 49% | 2024-01-25 | Lost |
904 | 1201 | 15% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
995 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
1009 | 1031 | 47% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
1080 | 905 | 73% | 2021-01-21 | Won |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-03-19 | Lost |
1213 | 1035 | 74% | 2018-10-11 | Won |
1005 | 873 | 68% | 2018-07-07 | Won |
1018 | 984 | 55% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
967 | 942 | 54% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
1014 | 995 | 53% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
1039 | 1093 | 42% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
1083 | 1173 | 37% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
976 | 964 | 52% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
992 | 1203 | 23% | 2017-11-15 | Lost |
830 | 1223 | 9% | 2017-07-12 | Lost |
992 | 1203 | 23% | 2015-12-04 | Lost |
968 | 1137 | 27% | 2015-09-25 | Lost |
1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
898 | 992 | 37% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
998 | 1004 | 49% | 2014-03-04 | Lost |
933 | 870 | 59% | 2012-03-04 | Won |
870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
977 | 1018 | 44% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
1086 | 1018 | 60% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
1018 | 852 | 72% | 2010-08-19 | Won |
909 | 1037 | 32% | 2010-07-01 | Won |
1039 | 984 | 58% | 2010-01-16 | Lost |
992 | 992 | 50% | 2009-05-03 | Lost |
997 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-01-30 | Won |
1029 | 1259 | 21% | 2008-10-08 | Lost |
1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-05-17 | Won |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-04-22 | Lost |
977 | 1405 | 8% | 2008-04-12 | Lost |
1036 | 1029 | 51% | 2008-03-30 | Won |
997 | 1108 | 35% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
933 | 1044 | 35% | 2008-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1007.1 vs 1054.3 has a 43.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).