The Darkest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2025-07-12 | | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2018-03-31 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2017-02-18 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-02-18 | | Won |
| 972 | 1000 | 46% | 2012-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1109 | 1035 | 60% | 2008-08-06 | | Won |
| 1175 | 1047 | 68% | 2008-06-15 | | Won |
| 827 | 980 | 29% | 2008-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1435 | 16% | 2008-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2008-03-22 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1072.3 vs 1055.8 has a 52.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).