The Darkest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2025-07-12 | Won |
| 1123 | 969 | 71% | 2018-03-31 | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 965 | 1102 | 31% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2008-10-16 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1180 | 41% | 2008-08-06 | Won |
| 1152 | 1060 | 63% | 2008-06-15 | Won |
| 827 | 980 | 29% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1435 | 16% | 2008-04-12 | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2008-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1080.6 vs 1080.8 has a 49.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).