Escape from Komsomol Park
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (12 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 907 | 80% | 2026-08-07 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2026-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1067 | 59% | 2024-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2019-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2016-04-25 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-06-20 | | Won |
| 920 | 1000 | 39% | 2012-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 956 | 57% | 2009-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 979 | 76% | 2008-12-30 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1157 | 30% | 2008-06-01 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1040 | 63% | 2008-05-15 | | Won |
| 1060 | 968 | 63% | 2008-03-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1030.8 has a 52.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).