"Ne Pas Subir"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (French): 12
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 994 | 54% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1027 | 979 | 57% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1013 | 933 | 61% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 975 | 1092 | 34% | 2022-10-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 1045 | 1057 | 48% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
| 975 | 1223 | 19% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1001 | 58% | 2017-02-05 | Lost |
| 1093 | 943 | 70% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
| 982 | 1220 | 20% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1075 | 49% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1119 | 1057 | 59% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 939 | 1223 | 16% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 998 | 1041 | 44% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 1133 | 29% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 1170 | 972 | 76% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 1002 | 889 | 66% | 2012-03-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2011-08-09 | Lost |
| 965 | 927 | 55% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
| 1049 | 1106 | 42% | 2010-05-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1089 | 39% | 2010-01-19 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1105 | 51% | 2009-06-07 | Won |
| 1062 | 992 | 60% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1075 | 930 | 70% | 2008-09-19 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1169 | 63% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
| 986 | 929 | 58% | 2008-07-26 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1075 | 40% | 2008-04-26 | Won |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2008-03-03 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1026.6 vs 1051.5 has a 46.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).