Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (18 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1151 | 53% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1037 | 53% | 2018-07-21 | Lost |
| 1256 | 990 | 82% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 995 | 1013 | 47% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1208 | 963 | 80% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1203 | 1079 | 67% | 2015-06-11 | Lost |
| 916 | 976 | 41% | 2014-06-28 | Won |
| 1102 | 1133 | 46% | 2014-04-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 925 | 49% | 2013-11-20 | Lost |
| 1146 | 916 | 79% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2012-02-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1141 | 30% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
| 1147 | 1028 | 66% | 2010-01-14 | Won |
| 1185 | 1170 | 52% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1077 | 61% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1056 | 55% | 2007-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1084.8 vs 1051.1 has a 54.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).