Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1149 | 54% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 994 | 990 | 51% | 2018-07-21 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1133 | 67% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 994 | 952 | 56% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1260 | 925 | 87% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1128 | 1044 | 62% | 2015-06-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2014-06-28 | Won |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 2014-04-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 925 | 49% | 2013-11-20 | Lost |
| 1148 | 993 | 71% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1227 | 23% | 2012-02-03 | Lost |
| 938 | 982 | 44% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1179 | 25% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1084 | 48% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
| 1149 | 1072 | 61% | 2010-01-14 | Won |
| 1133 | 1131 | 50% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1055 | 55% | 2007-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1080.9 vs 1055.9 has a 53.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).