Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1011 | 48% | 2021-02-01 | Won |
978 | 994 | 48% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
1069 | 1092 | 47% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
1065 | 1009 | 58% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
935 | 905 | 54% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
1191 | 999 | 75% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
978 | 1018 | 44% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
999 | 880 | 66% | 2016-12-07 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-12-04 | Won |
1020 | 851 | 73% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-09-18 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-09-18 | Lost |
897 | 917 | 47% | 2016-08-11 | Won |
1030 | 1126 | 37% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
971 | 1158 | 25% | 2015-12-22 | Won |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
1069 | 1018 | 57% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
954 | 1147 | 25% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
1084 | 1010 | 60% | 2013-02-09 | Lost |
1142 | 1084 | 58% | 2012-09-14 | Won |
1049 | 1090 | 44% | 2008-01-19 | Won |
978 | 1150 | 27% | 2006-10-23 | Lost |
932 | 1164 | 21% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1018.5 vs 1022.3 has a 49.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).