About His Shadowy Sides
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1002 | 1089 | 38% | 2023-11-14 | Won |
| 1012 | 1018 | 49% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-03-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2020-04-19 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1215 | 39% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1056 | 1010 | 57% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2017-11-03 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1056 | 47% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 948 | 1416 | 6% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 1097 | 40% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
| 855 | 927 | 40% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1035 | 44% | 2015-03-19 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1051 | 49% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1431 | 19% | 2014-02-23 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1067 | 41% | 2013-03-22 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1036 | 66% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
| 1152 | 996 | 71% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1151 | 1134 | 52% | 2011-10-24 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2011-09-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 2010-05-23 | Won |
| 959 | 1028 | 40% | 2009-06-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-03-07 | Won |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2008-07-23 | Won |
| 1127 | 1195 | 40% | 2008-07-05 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1185 | 29% | 2008-05-23 | Won |
| 1185 | 1026 | 71% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
| 1103 | 992 | 65% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1032 vs 1096.4 has a 40.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).