Freeing the Roadway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (9 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 18
Defender wins (German): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 901 | 989 | 38% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2022-07-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 1037 | 1066 | 46% | 2011-02-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1080 | 55% | 2010-07-20 | Won |
| 1005 | 1169 | 28% | 2009-05-18 | Lost |
| 1012 | 985 | 54% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 1008 | 1108 | 36% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 1087 | 45% | 2007-11-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1066.2 has a 44.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).