On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American/British): 8
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1089 | 40% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1062 | 81% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1170 | 924 | 80% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
| 1075 | 1089 | 48% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
| 1075 | 1049 | 54% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 927 | 1243 | 14% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1085 | 1132 | 43% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 1153 | 15% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 1076 | 38% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1042 | 889 | 71% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1057 | 53% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
| 946 | 1075 | 32% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
| 749 | 997 | 19% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
| 1189 | 1010 | 74% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2008-01-21 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1273 | 20% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 1323 | 1189 | 68% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1074.6 has a 44.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).