On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American/British): 8
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1044 | 46% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1062 | 82% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1154 | 912 | 80% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
| 1052 | 1089 | 45% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
| 1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1243 | 13% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1133 | 45% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
| 853 | 1163 | 14% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 1090 | 37% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1042 | 873 | 73% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
| 946 | 1052 | 35% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
| 745 | 997 | 19% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
| 1177 | 1009 | 72% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2008-01-21 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1275 | 20% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 1324 | 1177 | 70% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1029.2 vs 1067.3 has a 44.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).