The Zebra Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1259 | 1151 | 65% | 2020-09-06 | Won |
| 1069 | 1111 | 44% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1084 | 1097 | 48% | 2017-02-18 | Lost |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1130 | 974 | 71% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 992 | 65% | 2013-07-21 | Won |
| 1227 | 1018 | 77% | 2011-01-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1006 | 53% | 2009-03-17 | Won |
| 1090 | 905 | 74% | 2008-04-10 | Won |
| 976 | 1150 | 27% | 2008-02-27 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1150 | 33% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1087.3 vs 1062.9 has a 53.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).