The Zebra Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1015 | 57% | 2025-05-09 | Lost |
| 981 | 1135 | 29% | 2025-05-02 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1031 | 48% | 2025-05-02 | Won |
| 990 | 981 | 51% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1216 | 1137 | 61% | 2020-09-06 | Won |
| 1010 | 1110 | 36% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 1096 | 41% | 2017-02-18 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1042 | 61% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1042 | 1117 | 39% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1072 | 976 | 63% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1110 | 981 | 68% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 1042 | 1117 | 39% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 994 | 65% | 2013-07-21 | Won |
| 1244 | 1020 | 78% | 2011-01-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1058 | 47% | 2009-03-17 | Won |
| 1106 | 904 | 76% | 2008-04-10 | Won |
| 971 | 1226 | 19% | 2008-02-27 | Lost |
| 1151 | 987 | 72% | 2008-02-24 | Won |
| 1054 | 1038 | 52% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 1026 | 1226 | 24% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1218 | 40% | 2007-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1071 vs 1066.1 has a 50.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).