Agony at Arnautovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (22 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 76
Defender wins (Italian): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1029 | 58% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1049 | 991 | 58% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 927 | 956 | 46% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1003 | 1058 | 42% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1092 | 1092 | 50% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
| 983 | 944 | 56% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
| 1111 | 1094 | 52% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
| 1189 | 1001 | 75% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1074 | 1058 | 52% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1014 | 919 | 63% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1010 | 51% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1140 | 1015 | 67% | 2010-12-21 | Won |
| 989 | 1061 | 40% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 950 | 1003 | 42% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1336 | 28% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
| 940 | 1035 | 37% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1089 | 39% | 2008-07-10 | Lost |
| 986 | 994 | 49% | 2007-11-30 | Lost |
| 859 | 1189 | 13% | 2007-10-09 | Won |
| 1022 | 1183 | 28% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1052.6 has a 47.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).