Another Summer's Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (32 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 52
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1141 | 30% | 2024-10-23 | Won |
1141 | 1274 | 32% | 2024-02-13 | Lost |
1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-05-15 | Won |
940 | 940 | 50% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-12-23 | Lost |
1018 | 982 | 55% | 2021-10-31 | Won |
1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2021-04-29 | Lost |
1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
960 | 1149 | 25% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
903 | 939 | 45% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
1173 | 931 | 80% | 2019-12-08 | Won |
1224 | 1141 | 62% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
1026 | 989 | 55% | 2019-06-26 | Won |
1152 | 1082 | 60% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
1004 | 989 | 52% | 2018-03-30 | Lost |
1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2017-11-11 | Won |
1141 | 877 | 82% | 2016-08-08 | Tied |
1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2014-11-27 | Lost |
987 | 903 | 62% | 2014-05-11 | Lost |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-05-01 | Lost |
1141 | 1017 | 67% | 2013-05-02 | Lost |
1044 | 1156 | 34% | 2012-02-03 | Lost |
984 | 1040 | 42% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
966 | 1216 | 19% | 2010-06-26 | Lost |
987 | 1039 | 43% | 2009-05-19 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-03-01 | Lost |
1094 | 984 | 65% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-05-23 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-05-23 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-02 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1055.3 vs 1051.6 has a 50.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).