Romanian Hammers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (12 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2026-02-01 | | Won |
| 954 | 1093 | 31% | 2022-12-02 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 992 | 52% | 2020-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2018-05-28 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1222 | 16% | 2017-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1347 | 22% | 2016-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1088 | 39% | 2015-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1179 | 36% | 2015-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2015-05-01 | | Won |
| 1042 | 1147 | 35% | 2014-11-08 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2007-09-21 | | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2007-02-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027 vs 1082.5 has a 42.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).