Red Valentines
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
1137 | 1010 | 68% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
981 | 978 | 50% | 2008-06-01 | Won |
978 | 958 | 53% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
1000 | 1110 | 35% | 2007-08-25 | Won |
1010 | 1060 | 43% | 2007-03-16 | Lost |
1218 | 1080 | 69% | 2006-12-08 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1070.7 vs 1059.9 has a 51.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).