Husum Hotfoot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (British): 9
Defender wins (German (SS)): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 927 | 67% | 2025-04-18 | Won |
| 890 | 896 | 49% | 2025-04-18 | Won |
| 1034 | 1039 | 49% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1176 | 42% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 1150 | 1105 | 56% | 2022-11-26 | Lost |
| 988 | 1039 | 43% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 940 | 1120 | 26% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 949 | 55% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1020 | 58% | 2017-05-21 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1111 | 76% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-11-03 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1008 | 51% | 2015-05-06 | Won |
| 1413 | 979 | 92% | 2008-05-17 | Won |
| 1117 | 1126 | 49% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1073 | 61% | 2007-11-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 1025 | 53% | 2006-11-15 | Lost |
| 927 | 1041 | 34% | 2006-03-10 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1189 | 55% | 2005-02-27 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2003-04-01 | Lost |
| 1107 | 999 | 65% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1105 | 995 | 65% | 2002-12-07 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1084 vs 1049.8 has a 54.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).