Burn Gurkha Burn!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33
Attacker wins (Japanese): 13
Defender wins (Gurkha): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1072 | 35% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 998 | 59% | 2024-05-16 | Won |
| 930 | 1123 | 25% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1031 | 62% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1095 | 77% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 936 | 1113 | 27% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1059 | 1122 | 41% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 925 | 1158 | 21% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 1138 | 35% | 2017-10-20 | Won |
| 1067 | 968 | 64% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 1037 | 34% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 999 | 1100 | 36% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 882 | 1011 | 32% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1113 | 936 | 73% | 2013-08-09 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1059 | 51% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-01-29 | Won |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2007-12-30 | Won |
| 951 | 936 | 52% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1140 | 38% | 2007-11-02 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1140 | 49% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 998 | 1083 | 38% | 2007-06-07 | Lost |
| 1083 | 998 | 62% | 2007-06-06 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1105 | 40% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1284 | 35% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1068 | 1123 | 42% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1059 | 65% | 2004-06-06 | Lost |
| 882 | 1003 | 33% | 2004-03-27 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1174 | 43% | 2004-03-06 | Won |
| 1158 | 1204 | 43% | 2003-12-24 | Won |
| 1140 | 731 | 91% | 2003-03-28 | Won |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1063.8 has a 48.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).