Burn Gurkha Burn!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (Gurkha): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1090 | 34% | 2024-05-16 | Won |
| 976 | 1135 | 29% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1072 | 57% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1298 | 1066 | 79% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1189 | 24% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 1100 | 44% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 925 | 1158 | 21% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1084 | 1126 | 44% | 2017-10-20 | Won |
| 1067 | 1051 | 52% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 1001 | 998 | 50% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 955 | 1018 | 41% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 991 | 76% | 2013-08-09 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1056 | 52% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 938 | 56% | 2011-01-29 | Won |
| 951 | 912 | 56% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1056 | 55% | 2007-06-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1090 | 45% | 2007-06-06 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1056 | 46% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1272 | 31% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1047 | 66% | 2004-06-06 | Lost |
| 949 | 966 | 48% | 2004-03-27 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1129 | 44% | 2004-03-06 | Won |
| 1120 | 1124 | 49% | 2003-12-24 | Won |
| 1167 | 1167 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1072.7 vs 1071.1 has a 50.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).