Ils Ne Passeront Pas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (12 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 56
Defender wins (German): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1207 | 32% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
| 989 | 1068 | 39% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1098 | 46% | 2013-04-22 | Lost |
| 977 | 1088 | 35% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2010-05-27 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1101 | 38% | 2005-04-29 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-03-01 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1000 | 67% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1180 | 35% | 2003-12-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1081 | 58% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
| 1115 | 1101 | 52% | 2001-04-01 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2001-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1080.8 vs 1088.8 has a 48.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).