Ils Ne Passeront Pas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (12 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 56
Defender wins (German): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1254 | 17% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
| 989 | 919 | 60% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1099 | 45% | 2013-04-22 | Lost |
| 978 | 1110 | 32% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1226 | 853 | 90% | 2010-05-27 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1100 | 38% | 2005-04-29 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-03-01 | Lost |
| 1122 | 999 | 67% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1174 | 35% | 2003-12-06 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1082 | 60% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
| 1125 | 1100 | 54% | 2001-04-01 | Won |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2001-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1077 vs 1074.5 has a 50.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).