Deadeye Smoyer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 965 | 46% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 1141 | 1138 | 50% | 2025-11-06 | Lost |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2025-09-16 | Lost |
| 930 | 1126 | 24% | 2025-07-03 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1138 | 54% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 976 | 1078 | 36% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2023-12-08 | Won |
| 1065 | 912 | 71% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1182 | 1185 | 50% | 2016-10-27 | Lost |
| 1107 | 984 | 67% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1182 | 1227 | 44% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1091 | 41% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 965 | 613 | 88% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 1167 | 976 | 75% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1011 | 64% | 2009-03-15 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 1156 | 1151 | 51% | 2005-09-01 | Lost |
| 1344 | 1018 | 87% | 2002-06-23 | Won |
| 1065 | 901 | 72% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2001-12-11 | Won |
| 959 | 1347 | 10% | 2000-11-02 | Lost |
| 1347 | 959 | 90% | 2000-10-13 | Won |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2000-04-09 | Won |
| 1031 | 1030 | 50% | 2000-01-15 | Won |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 1999-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1038.5 has a 51.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).