An Arm and a Leg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 150 (26 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 72
Defender wins (German): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 849 | 1032 | 26% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
| 973 | 1035 | 41% | 2022-07-21 | Won |
| 1032 | 849 | 74% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 849 | 1032 | 26% | 2022-07-11 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1166 | 49% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
| 1021 | 987 | 55% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1076 | 966 | 65% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 916 | 993 | 39% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
| 1100 | 1003 | 64% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1177 | 1173 | 51% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 941 | 1022 | 39% | 2016-02-28 | Lost |
| 939 | 1220 | 17% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 939 | 1220 | 17% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 981 | 998 | 48% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1005 | 896 | 65% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2011-05-13 | Won |
| 880 | 1208 | 13% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 973 | 1085 | 34% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 1085 | 38% | 2007-03-26 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1004 | 66% | 2005-03-30 | Won |
| 1159 | 1123 | 55% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 1998-02-23 | Lost |
| 972 | 1003 | 46% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1002.2 vs 1056.9 has a 42.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).