Point 270
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (British): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 957 | 51% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1015 | 71% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1030 | 58% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2015-04-18 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2009-12-01 | Won |
| 1040 | 694 | 88% | 2009-08-08 | Won |
| 913 | 993 | 39% | 2006-05-27 | Lost |
| 946 | 1019 | 40% | 2000-10-01 | Lost |
| 933 | 1048 | 34% | 1999-02-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 993 | 65% | 1998-09-12 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-06-15 | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1030.2 vs 983.3 has a 56.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).