Point 270
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (British): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 959 | 52% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1023 | 68% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1030 | 48% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1089 | 901 | 75% | 2015-04-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-12-01 | Won |
| 1089 | 693 | 91% | 2009-08-08 | Won |
| 914 | 1047 | 32% | 2006-05-27 | Lost |
| 947 | 1003 | 42% | 2000-10-01 | Lost |
| 932 | 1048 | 34% | 1999-02-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-09-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-06-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 975 has a 59.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).