Penny Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 942 | 50% | 2024-12-27 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2022-05-28 | Lost |
| 1039 | 925 | 66% | 2021-05-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2017-06-14 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2011-02-22 | Lost |
| 1208 | 847 | 89% | 2003-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1049.3 vs 1005.9 has a 56.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).