Motorcycle Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (8 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1182 | 36% | 2024-02-12 | Won |
| 901 | 1016 | 34% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 901 | 864 | 55% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1223 | 976 | 81% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1083 | 939 | 70% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 984 | 1203 | 22% | 2018-06-22 | Tied |
| 1203 | 984 | 78% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1047.4 vs 1026.8 has a 52.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).