Motorcycle Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (8 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1090 | 1182 | 37% | 2024-02-12 | Won |
| 893 | 995 | 36% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 893 | 882 | 52% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1223 | 976 | 81% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1086 | 939 | 70% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1032 | 1132 | 36% | 2018-06-22 | Tied |
| 1132 | 1032 | 64% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1027.3 has a 52.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).