Battle at Arm's Length
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1181 | 1203 | 47% | 2023-08-17 | Won |
| 1142 | 1092 | 57% | 2011-10-02 | Won |
| 904 | 1106 | 24% | 2010-07-29 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1059 | 63% | 2001-05-11 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1094.8 vs 1115 has a 47.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).