Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 179 (24 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 96
Defender wins (German): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 820 | 1113 | 16% | 2025-12-23 | Lost |
| 868 | 917 | 43% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-11-07 | Lost |
| 1052 | 938 | 66% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1048 | 51% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
| 942 | 988 | 43% | 2018-03-30 | Won |
| 1089 | 1080 | 51% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
| 850 | 873 | 47% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 850 | 873 | 47% | 2015-04-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2012-02-21 | Won |
| 969 | 1035 | 41% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1140 | 57% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1097 | 66% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1127 | 50% | 2001-01-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 987 | 60% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1060 | 51% | 2001-01-22 | Lost |
| 986 | 1127 | 31% | 2000-12-28 | Won |
| 1125 | 1140 | 48% | 1999-10-06 | Won |
| 1263 | 1030 | 79% | 1998-03-29 | Won |
| 926 | 1026 | 36% | 1997-11-15 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
| 833 | 1091 | 18% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1017.9 vs 1040.7 has a 46.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).