Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 888 | 1017 | 32% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
| 1041 | 947 | 63% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1109 | 1145 | 45% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 945 | 873 | 60% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1093 | 961 | 68% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1133 | 41% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
| 1106 | 879 | 79% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1216 | 1026 | 75% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 1067 | 890 | 73% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 987 | 1174 | 25% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
| 831 | 1204 | 10% | 2002-09-18 | Won |
| 864 | 1003 | 31% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1142 | 1012 | 68% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1142 | 951 | 75% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1032.6 vs 1020.6 has a 51.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).