Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (24 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1082 | 36% | 2022-12-02 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1011 | 44% | 2022-10-13 | | Won |
| 970 | 1011 | 44% | 2022-10-13 | | Won |
| 1011 | 970 | 56% | 2022-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 970 | 56% | 2022-10-05 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1018 | 46% | 2018-07-25 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1000 | 43% | 2017-03-17 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2017-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1093 | 874 | 78% | 2016-08-14 | | Won |
| 1032 | 1006 | 54% | 2016-03-25 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1134 | 35% | 2015-06-11 | | Tied |
| 1108 | 972 | 69% | 2013-10-12 | | Won |
| 1217 | 1028 | 75% | 2013-03-23 | | Won |
| 1071 | 891 | 74% | 2013-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1109 | 35% | 2007-04-08 | | Lost |
| 832 | 1076 | 20% | 2002-09-18 | | Won |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2001-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 1998-10-01 | | Won |
| 1195 | 1014 | 74% | 1990-01-01 | | Won |
| 1195 | 951 | 80% | 1990-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1040.1 vs 1014.5 has a 53.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).