Recon in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (19 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 67
Defender wins (Italian / German): 64
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 1018 | 39% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1074 | 889 | 74% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1010 | 861 | 70% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1259 | 1260 | 50% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 939 | 937 | 50% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 994 | 956 | 55% | 2018-02-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1016 | 50% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1124 | 1214 | 37% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1188 | 1214 | 46% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1011 | 1023 | 48% | 2017-01-17 | Won |
| 946 | 1115 | 27% | 2014-10-14 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1097 | 55% | 2014-09-15 | Won |
| 951 | 1067 | 34% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1072 | 958 | 66% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1129 | 37% | 1998-12-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 986 | 50% | 1994-05-30 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1167 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1057.3 vs 1052.4 has a 50.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).