The Road to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (9 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (American): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-05-05 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-02-24 | | Won |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-02-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-06-23 | | Won |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2006-05-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2003-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 928 | 60% | 2003-04-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2002-03-10 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 999.4 vs 995.9 has a 50.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).