Monty's Mess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (23 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 49
Defender wins (British): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1009 | 52% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1175 | 37% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1164 | 37% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1074 | 1202 | 32% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1097 | 1059 | 55% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1202 | 49% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1313 | 917 | 91% | 2018-09-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 949 | 62% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 896 | 1079 | 26% | 2017-05-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 1030 | 54% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1024 | 55% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1029 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1059 | 1020 | 56% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2013-03-17 | Lost |
| 963 | 947 | 52% | 2011-08-17 | Tied |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2007-02-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 1218 | 26% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1105 | 960 | 70% | 2003-07-29 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 896 | 1079 | 26% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1067 vs 1053.7 has a 51.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).