A Belated Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (6 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 994 | 51% | 2025-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 918 | 74% | 2021-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2020-04-14 | | Won |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-01-07 | | Won |
| 954 | 1000 | 43% | 2017-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1147 | 44% | 2013-03-07 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1004.2 has a 58.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).