A Belated Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 994 | 55% | 2025-04-13 | Lost |
| 1050 | 922 | 68% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1215 | 1139 | 61% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 927 | 1017 | 37% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1065 | 56% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1046.7 vs 1014.7 has a 54.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).