A Belated Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 995 | 43% | 2025-04-13 | Lost |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1215 | 1139 | 61% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 950 | 1017 | 40% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1060 | 55% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1035.3 vs 999.5 has a 55.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).