Lend-Lease Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (28 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 82
Defender wins (German): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2023-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2022-05-22 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2019-12-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2017-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 930 | 60% | 2016-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1181 | 1222 | 44% | 2016-04-30 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2012-06-23 | | Won |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2012-06-23 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-03-11 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 961 | 57% | 2009-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1161 | 38% | 2006-09-15 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1151 | 84% | 2006-09-09 | | Won |
| 1046 | 1031 | 52% | 2006-08-12 | | Won |
| 1109 | 1069 | 56% | 2006-06-24 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2006-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2006-04-02 | | Lost |
| 862 | 1219 | 11% | 2006-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1120 | 37% | 2006-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1151 | 60% | 2005-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1151 | 60% | 2005-12-28 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2005-04-29 | | Won |
| 1047 | 1175 | 32% | 2005-04-28 | | Won |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2005-04-22 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-02-15 | | Lost |
| 916 | 1029 | 34% | 2005-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2005-01-01 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2004-11-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1077.1 vs 1064.3 has a 51.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).