The Sooner The Better
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (7 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 1019 | 41% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 985 | 985 | 50% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
| 985 | 969 | 52% | 2019-11-16 | Tied |
| 1033 | 945 | 62% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1083 | 980 | 64% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1237 | 1018 | 78% | 2011-09-08 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1056 | 52% | 2006-06-07 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1049.9 vs 996 has a 57.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).