Lee's Charge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (18 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2026-10-30 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1112 | 27% | 2026-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1112 | 943 | 73% | 2026-09-13 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-09-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2024-09-23 | | Won |
| 1143 | 992 | 70% | 2024-05-08 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2023-07-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2021-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1018 | 53% | 2021-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1110 | 1006 | 65% | 2020-11-25 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1006 | 69% | 2020-11-25 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1126 | 37% | 2020-05-03 | | Lost |
| 909 | 1020 | 35% | 2018-08-10 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1020 | 48% | 2017-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2017-01-14 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-06-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2004-09-23 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 1999-04-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1042.4 vs 1040.6 has a 50.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).