Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-04-11 | Won |
| 1095 | 1030 | 59% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1095 | 991 | 65% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 995 | 1075 | 39% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 979 | 1010 | 46% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1202 | 1154 | 57% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1166 | 64% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 789 | 996 | 23% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 996 | 1252 | 19% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
| 1193 | 870 | 87% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
| 1133 | 985 | 70% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1193 | 870 | 87% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 971 | 768 | 76% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1252 | 28% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1223 | 971 | 81% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1151 | 970 | 74% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 998 | 853 | 70% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 896 | 877 | 53% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1119 | 41% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1048 | 62% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 986 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1044 | 47% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1125 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1081 | 63% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1313 | 968 | 88% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 1123 | 1202 | 39% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
| 1148 | 1097 | 57% | 2006-09-24 | Lost |
| 917 | 1189 | 17% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1274 | 40% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1074.1 vs 1052.1 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).