Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-04-11 | Won |
| 1062 | 1029 | 55% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1062 | 993 | 60% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1044 | 43% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1177 | 1147 | 54% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1163 | 48% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1010 | 58% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1221 | 23% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
| 1101 | 975 | 67% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
| 1109 | 985 | 67% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1101 | 975 | 67% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 991 | 780 | 77% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1221 | 31% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1250 | 1171 | 61% | 2021-09-27 | Won |
| 1226 | 991 | 79% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1165 | 970 | 75% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 903 | 853 | 57% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 950 | 918 | 55% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 962 | 1068 | 35% | 2016-09-16 | Won |
| 1041 | 1121 | 39% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
| 984 | 1125 | 31% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1053 | 62% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 986 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1045 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1125 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
| 984 | 1082 | 36% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1082 | 63% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1274 | 968 | 85% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 1145 | 1177 | 45% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
| 1140 | 1111 | 54% | 2006-09-24 | Lost |
| 908 | 1186 | 17% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 1077 | 989 | 62% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2004-01-16 | Won |
| 1177 | 1016 | 72% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 960 | 1095 | 31% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 1250 | 1287 | 45% | 2003-02-09 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1074.4 vs 1055.9 has a 52.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).